MarketsDeathWill the Iran-Israel confrontation produce a confirmed five-figure civilian death toll before ceasefire?
● OpenDeath
Will the Iran-Israel confrontation produce a confirmed five-figure civilian death toll before ceasefire?
50.0%chance
$0.00
Volume
0
Traders
29d 20h
Remaining
Yes 50.0%No 50.0%
Yes Positions
No positions yet
No Positions
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A market on the arithmetic of modern conflict. Tracks whether the current regional escalation will surpass the 10,000 civilian fatality threshold before any bilateral, multilateral, or performative ceasefire arrangement holds for more than 72 hours.
Acquire Position
29d 20h leftInstrument: commemorative only. Return: reputational. Underlying asset: you.
Market Info
Total Volume$0.00
Participants0
Liquidity (Yes)$50.00
Liquidity (No)$50.00
ClosesMay 9, 2026
Acquire Position
Choose a side. Purchase visibility.
Instrument: commemorative only. Return: reputational. Underlying asset: you.