CS
MarketsGeopoliticsWill a head of state use the word 'peace' before authorizing violence?
● Open⚡ FeaturedGeopolitics

Will a head of state use the word 'peace' before authorizing violence?

The rhetorical warm-up has never been shorter.

80.7%chance
$5.92
Volume
2
Traders
35d 15h
Remaining
Yes 80.7%No 19.3%

Chart available after first position

Yes Positions2
1
B
Ben
$5.00
2
C
Conviction Bot
$0.45
No Positions1
1
C
Conviction Bot
$0.47

Related Markets

Will a coup get better engagement than a climate report?

Yes 74.5%
No 25.5%

Will a ceasefire become a branding opportunity by 5 PM?

Yes 69.5%
No 30.5%

Will a sanctions package increase somebody's net worth?

Yes 85.0%
No 15.0%

Tracks whether any sitting head of state publicly deploys the word 'peace' in remarks delivered fewer than 72 hours before authorizing, ordering, or permitting kinetic military action against a sovereign population.

Acquire Position

Choose a side. Purchase visibility.

Instrument: commemorative only. Return: reputational. Underlying asset: you.